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Explain P-Value and Power in A/B Testing

EasyStatistics & Probability00:00
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Your question is Explain P-Value and Power in A/B Testing. Take a moment with it on the right.

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Problem

Business Context

PixelCraft, a design collaboration app, tested a new onboarding screen created by the Product Design team. The designer wants a plain-language explanation of p-value and statistical power, grounded in the actual experiment results.

Problem Statement

You need to explain whether the new onboarding improved activation, what the p-value says about the observed result, and what statistical power says about the test's ability to detect a meaningful improvement.

Given Data

MetricControlTreatment
Users shown variant8,4008,600
Activated within 7 days1,2601,376
Activation rate15.0%16.0%

Additional assumptions for power analysis:

ParameterValue
Significance level0.05
Test typeTwo-sided two-proportion z-test
Minimum meaningful lift1.5 percentage points
Baseline activation rate15.0%

Requirements

  1. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
  2. Calculate the observed difference in activation rates.
  3. Compute the test statistic and p-value.
  4. Explain the p-value in plain English for a non-technical Product Designer.
  5. Estimate the statistical power to detect a lift from 15.0% to 16.5% with the given sample sizes.
  6. Explain power in plain English and say whether this experiment was adequately powered.
  7. Give a business recommendation on whether to ship, rerun, or collect more data.

Assumptions

  • Users were randomly assigned to control and treatment.
  • Each user appears once in the analysis.
  • Normal approximation is appropriate because sample sizes are large.
  • Ignore segmentation and multiple-testing issues for this exercise.