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Evaluate a Campaign Without Clean A/B

HardA/B Testing & Experimentation00:00
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Your question is Evaluate a Campaign Without Clean A/B. Take a moment with it on the right.

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Campaign Impact Without Clean Randomization

Scenario

You work on a consumer-facing product team that launched a marketing campaign and now needs to know whether it actually moved the business. A clean A/B test was not set up, so the observed results may be confounded by seasonality, channel mix, or other concurrent changes.

Question

How would you evaluate whether the campaign is working if you can’t run a clean A/B test? Explain how you would separate signal from noise, what evidence you would trust, and what could make you wrong.