Your question is Conditional vs Independent Events. Take a moment with it on the right.
Talk me through your thinking if you like. When you're confident, submit your answer and I'll grade it like a real screen (7/10 or better passes).
Explain the difference between conditional probability and independent events in a market context.
Define both concepts clearly and explain how they differ when one market event may contain information about another. Use market-event notation such as A and B, but do not assume a specific dataset or trading strategy. Explain the independence condition mathematically and give a concise interpretation of when conditioning should change a probability.