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A/B Test for Chime Sign-Up Flow

Medium
Statistics & ProbabilityExperimentationHypothesis TestingA/B TestingAsked 4 times

Problem

Business Context

Chime wants to test a redesigned sign-up flow on its landing page to increase completed account applications without hurting downstream quality. A 14-day randomized experiment was run on new visitors to Chime's landing page.

Problem Statement

Evaluate whether the new sign-up flow improves the primary conversion metric enough to justify rollout, and quantify the uncertainty around the lift.

Given Data

GroupVisitorsCompleted Sign-UpsConversion Rate
Control (current flow)52,4006,13111.7004%
Treatment (new flow)52,0506,53412.5533%

Additional experiment parameters:

ParameterValue
Significance level0.05
Test typeTwo-sided
Planned power0.80
Baseline conversion for planning11.7%
Minimum detectable effect for planning0.8 percentage points

Requirements

  1. State the null and alternative hypotheses for the sign-up conversion rate.
  2. Compute the observed conversion rates and absolute lift.
  3. Run a two-proportion z-test using the pooled standard error.
  4. Calculate the two-sided p-value.
  5. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference in conversion rates.
  6. Determine whether the result is statistically significant at the 5% level.
  7. Briefly assess whether the observed lift is practically meaningful for Chime.
  8. Using the planning assumptions, estimate the required sample size per variant for 80% power.

Assumptions

  • Visitors were randomly assigned at the user level and counted once.
  • No major instrumentation issues or sample-ratio mismatch occurred.
  • The normal approximation is valid because both groups have large sample sizes.
  • The primary metric is completed sign-up conversion on the landing-page flow.

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