





BrightAds, a mobile commerce company, reviewed recent campaign data and concluded that increasing daily ad spend causes higher same-day revenue because the two variables move together strongly.
You are given 10 days of campaign data. The analyst reported a high positive correlation between ad spend and revenue and concluded that raising spend will increase revenue. Analyze the dataset and identify the logical flaw in that conclusion.
| Day | Ad Spend ($000) | Revenue ($000) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 100 |
| 2 | 12 | 108 |
| 3 | 14 | 116 |
| 4 | 16 | 124 |
| 5 | 18 | 132 |
| 6 | 20 | 140 |
| 7 | 22 | 148 |
| 8 | 24 | 156 |
| 9 | 26 | 164 |
| 10 | 28 | 172 |
A manager states: "The correlation is nearly perfect, so higher ad spend clearly causes higher revenue."
{"alpha":0.05,"sample_size":10,"revenue_thousands":[100,108,116,124,132,140,148,156,164,172],"ad_spend_thousands":[10,12,14,16,18,20,22,24,26,28]}Output(none)