FitFlow is a subscription-based digital fitness app offering personalized workout plans, nutrition tracking, and live classes. The company operates in the US and UK, has 1.8 million monthly website visitors, 220,000 monthly app installs, and 95,000 paying subscribers. It is a mid-market player in a crowded category with strong brand awareness but inconsistent growth efficiency. Management has approved only one major growth initiative for the next two quarters and needs to decide whether to focus first on acquisition, activation, or retention.
Growth has slowed over the last three quarters despite higher marketing spend. The CEO believes the company may be over-investing at the top of the funnel while leaking users downstream, but the VP Marketing argues that the brand is still underpenetrated relative to competitors. The board wants a clear recommendation on where to invest first because the company must improve ARR growth before its next financing discussion in 9 months.
Current debate:
| Metric | Current | 6 Months Ago | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly website visitors | 1.8M | 1.5M | Traffic up 20% after paid media expansion |
| App installs / month | 220K | 180K | Install rate stable at ~12.2% of visitors |
| Account sign-up rate from installs | 68% | 70% | Slight decline |
| 7-day activation rate* | 31% | 34% | *Completed onboarding + 3 workouts in first 7 days |
| Trial-to-paid conversion | 24% | 27% | 14-day free trial |
| 90-day paid retention | 58% | 61% | Churn concentrated in months 1-3 |
| Blended CAC per paid subscriber | $118 | $96 | Rising due to paid channel saturation |
| ARPU | $19/month | $18/month | Stable pricing, modest upsell gains |
| Gross margin | 78% | 77% | Healthy but marketing efficiency worsening |
Additional facts:
As Head of Strategy, prepare a recommendation for the executive team: