LendWise uses a binary classification model to predict whether a personal loan applicant will default within 12 months. The model is used to support approval decisions, but risk leaders are concerned that the team is reporting only overall accuracy while default losses remain high.
| Metric | Validation Set | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0.91 | High due to class imbalance |
| Precision | 0.68 | Of predicted defaults, 68% were correct |
| Recall | 0.42 | Model catches less than half of actual defaults |
| F1 Score | 0.52 | Weak balance between precision and recall |
| AUC-ROC | 0.79 | Moderate ranking performance |
| Default rate in data | 0.10 | 10% positive class |
| Threshold | 0.50 | Current decision cutoff |
The model appears strong if judged only by accuracy, but it may be underperforming on the business objective: identifying risky applicants before loans are issued. The hiring manager wants to know whether the candidate understands which metrics matter, how to interpret them together, and what tradeoffs they imply.